New Trend

There is strong evidence that the drop in the markets since May 8th is the beginning of a new downtrend. I apologize for calling it a bit early in mid April. May 8th is a strong cycle date and there are numerous other indicators as noted on the chart. You can click on the charts to enlarge them. The small caps appear to have more potential for a stronger move to a new low.  The target range for the Russell 2000 is 250-300. This can be played using TWM which is a double inverse fund. I also believe that tech stocks should take a hard hit. There are 3 in particular with appearances that suggest a strong trend down is coming. IBM (101.37) should go down to at least 70 with 50 as another possible target. RIMM now at 72 should go below 40 (unfortunately there is a large gap up to 90 making this a riskier play). QCOM has also done a beautiful retracement from it's high in mid '08. It's target is 21. Some new highs are possible but should not last long. I expect these downward moves to take approximately 5 months. Any upward moves this week in the Russell 2000 or these individual stocks should provide good opportunities to short them. 
Good luck.

The money is in the waiting.

A somewhat better way to put the current market situation is that it is in no man's land.  The dow industrials has the potential for 9500, but it is overbought.  The money is in the waiting and I am waiting for a pattern that looks more reliable.

Failed resistance.

It looks like these markets have more up to go.  However, I am a bit leery of jumping on the upside mid-run.  We got stopped out of SMN at 23.50.  TWM (Russell 2000 inverse) I will still hold onto.  For individual stocks, MMM looks like a completed pattern and I expect it to go down to 52 as long as it stays below 59.2.  MCD looks like it has strong upside potential.